Yasheng Group (US) News

January 28 2017 Troubling the sage among his books
  An interesting question that has always bothered me remains what patriotic and
  very intelligent American politicians and military leaders were thinking during the
  1850s. In four years of war, the combined losses were at least 665,000 soldiers
  killed, 130,000 civilians killed, and 368,000 soldiers wounded. I have no figures on
  the cost of ruined cities, destroyed infrastructure and diverted resources. To
  defend an economically unsustainable and ethically repugnant system.
  “Trouble rather the tiger in his lair than the sage among his books. For to you
  kingdoms and their armies are things mighty and enduring, but to him they are but
toys of the moment, to be overturned with the flick of a finger.”
  Gordon R. Dickson, Tactics of Mistake - recommended reading, by the way
  In the mathematical theory of games and in real life in the wilds of Asia, 
  ALL tigers (Panthera tigris is the species - how many subspecies is a matter of dispute)
  are largely ambush predators that must follow a risk-reward strategy. That is, while
  maintaining awareness of what other predators might consider the location their
  hunting territory, a tiger stalks quite a variety of prey. Whether the target of the
  hunt is a bear, a deer, a bovine, an antelope, a rhino or elephant calf, a human, a wild
  boar or virtually anything else of appreciable size, the tiger has to consider the risk of
  injury during the attack versus the reward of food or sex. The majority of stalks are
  probably failures because tigers usually do not pursue when prey flees. So increasing
  hunger may alter the tiger's calculations. With some diligence, a tiger's behavior can
  be predicted. As Gordon Dickson points out, the sage in the mathematical theory of
  games follows quite a different pattern. There may be no risks so the sage will persist
  in an attack against nominally larger targets for what seems to be a small or no reward.
  As always, one ought to measure the strength of a society by how it treats its weakest -
  the old, the poor, the disabled, the linguistically challenged and the very young.
  For example, were a sage among his books to be inspired to defend the weakest there
  is  no telling what lengths the sage might go to. This makes for a very persistent and
  dangerous opponent both in simulations and in life, hence Dickson's warning.
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